OHL Playoff Preview: Conference Semi-Finals

2019 Playoff Bracket

Dare I say it?

I don’t think the first round of the Ontario Hockey League was that difficult to predict when it came down to picking the teams that would advance to the Conference Finals. But could anyone have predicted just how dominant a round it was by the favorites?

Five of the eight series went the minimum four games. The minimum number of games for the first round was thirty-two. And it took just thirty-five to complete the round. It was the most dominating first round the league has seen in decades.

That said, the Conference Semi-Finals should have more competition as the field is down to the eight best teams from the regular season.

Below is a series by series breakdown of how the teams fared against each other through the 2018-2019 regular season followed by my predictions. Before we get to that, here’s a look at how my predictions went in the first round:

Series Result Prediction
1 London vs Windsor London wins 4-0 London in 5
2 Saginaw vs Sarnia Saginaw wins 4-0 Saginaw in 6
3 Sault Ste Marie vs Owen Sound Sault wins 4-1 Sault St Marie in 5
4 Guelph vs Kitchener Guelph wins 4-0 Guelph in 6
Series Result Prediction
1 Ottawa vs Hamilton Ottawa wins 4-0 Ottawa in 5
2 Niagara vs North Bay Niagara wins 4-1 Niagara in 5
3 Oshawa vs Peterborough Oshawa leads 3-1 Oshawa in 5
4 Sudbury vs Mississauga Sudbury wins 4-0 Sudbury in 6
WESTERN CONFERENCE
London Knights vs Guelph Storm: Head To Head Stats
Summary
Description Result
Head to Head London 2-3-1-0 Guelph 4-1-0-1
2017-2018 London 4-2-0-0 Guelph 2-3-1-0
Last 5 Years London 21-8-1-0 Guelph 9-18-2-1
Last 5 Years record @ London London 12-3-0-0 Guelph 3-11-1-0
Last 5 Years record @ Guelph London 9-5-1-0 Guelph 6-7-1-1
Previous Meetings This Season London 1 @ Guelph 5
Guelph 7 @ London 3
Guelph 1 @ London 6
Guelph 7 @ London 5
London 2 @ Guelph 1 SO
London 2 @ Guelph 3 OT
How the 2 teams match up
Guelph London
Team Record 40-18-6-4 — 90 PTS 46-15-6-1 — 99 PTS
Division Ranking 2nd Midwest 1st Midwest
Conference Ranking 4th Western 1st Western
League Ranking 8th 2nd
Past 10 Games 8-2-0-0 6-4-0-0
Home Record 23-9-1-1 27-5-2-0
Away Record 17-9-5-3 19-10-4-1
GF 308 299
GA 230 211
PP (Overall) (69/267) 25.8% (59/256) 23.0%
PP (Home) (37/146) 25.3% (33/133) 24.8%
PP (Away) (32/121) 26.4% (26/123) 21.1%
PK (Overall) (53/253) 79.1% (41/289) 85.8%
PK (Home) (28/126) 77.8% (19/142) 86.6%
PK (Away) (25/127) 80.3% (22/147) 85.0%
PP vs. Opp. (7/28) 25% (3/26) 11.5%
PK vs. Opp. (3/26) 88.5% (7/28) 75%
Leading Rookie Collins (6-10-16) Stranges (13-21-34)
Most PIM Ratcliffe – 105 Keane – 103
Team PIM/GM 9.9/Game 12.8/Game
Leading Scorers Schnarr (34-68-102) Hancock (52-55-107)
Suzuki (34-60-94) McMichael (36-36-72)
Ratcliffe (50-32-82) Foudy (36-32-68)
Hawel (37-41-78) Boqvist (20-40-60)
Entwistle (30-27-57) Dunkley (23-30-53)
Leading After 1st 24-3-3-0 28-2-0-0
Leading After 2nd 32-1-3-1 35-1-1-0
Tied After 1st 9-4-3-4 12-3-3-1
Tied After 2nd 4-0-1-2 8-1-1-1
Trailing After 1st 7-11-0-0 6-10-3-0
Trailing After 2nd 4-17-2-1 3-13-4-0
Out Shooting Opponents 28-8-2-2 33-11-4-0
Out Shot by Opponents 11-9-4-2 12-4-2-1
1-Goal Games 10-5-6-4 9-2-6-1
2-Goal Games 4-2-0-0 12-5-0-0
3-Goal Games 8-7-0-0 13-4-0-0
Saginaw Spirit vs Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds: Head To Head Stats
Summary
Description Result
Head to Head Record Saginaw 4-3-1-0 Sault Ste. Marie 4-4-0-0
2017-2018 Saginaw 1-6-1-0 Sault Ste. Marie 7-0-0-1
Last 5 Years Saginaw 16-22-2-0 Sault Ste. Marie 24-13-1-2
Last 5 Years @ Saginaw Saginaw 8-11-1-0 Sault Ste. Marie 12-6-1-1
Last 5 Years @ Sault Saginaw 8-11-1-0 Sault Ste. Marie 12-7-0-1
Previous Meetings This Season Saginaw 2 @ Sault Ste. Marie 5
Sault Ste. Marie 2 @ Saginaw 1 OT
Saginaw 5 @ Sault Ste. Marie 3
Saginaw 4 @ Sault Ste. Marie 2
Sault Ste. Marie 7 @ Saginaw 4
Sault Ste. Marie 3 @ Saginaw 5
Saginaw 3 @ Sault Ste. Marie 6
Sault Ste. Marie 2 @ Saginaw 5
How the 2 teams match up
Sault Ste. Marie Saginaw
Team Record 44-16-7-1 — 96 PTS 45-17-3-3 — 96 PTS
Division Ranking 2nd West 1st West
Conference Ranking 3rd Western 2nd Western
League Ranking 5th 3rd
Past 10 Games 6-3-1-0 7-2-1-0
Home Record 24-6-3-1 24-7-2-1
Away Record 20-10-4-0 21-10-1-2
GF 292 294
GA 224 218
PP (Overall) (59/265) 22.3% (51/227) 22.5%
PP (Home) (33/144) 22.9% (24/107) 22.4%
PP (Away) (26/121) 21.5% (27/120) 22.5%
PK (Overall) (51/287) 82.2% (40/234) 82.9%
PK (Home) (22/137) 83.9% (20/118) 83.1%
PK (Away) (29/150) 80.7% (20/116) 82.8%
PP vs. Opp. (4/28) 14.3% (7/26) 26.9%
PK vs. Opp. (7/26) 73.1% (4/28) 85.7%
Leading Rookie Kartye (4-20-24) Perfetti (37-37-74)
Most PIM Sambrook – 83 Murray – 115
Team PIM/GM 11.2/Game 8.7/Game
Leading Scorers Frost (37-72-109) Perfetti (37-37-74)
Howdeshell (46-31-77) Tippett (33-41-74)
Hollowell (24-53-77) Wilde (19-51-70)
Hayton (26-40-66) Coskey (31-32-63)
MacKay (27-34-61) McLeod (19-43-62)
Leading After 1st 25-0-2-0 31-3-1-0
Leading After 2nd 36-0-3-0 40-1-0-0
Tied After 1st 10-4-2-0 11-4-1-2
Tied After 2nd 6-7-2-1 4-3-2-2
Trailing After 1st 9-12-3-1 3-10-1-1
Trailing After 2nd 2-9-2-0 1-13-1-1
Out Shooting Opponents 26-8-3-1 27-8-3-2
Out Shot by Opponents 16-8-4-0 17-9-0-1
1-Goal Games 15-3-7-1 8-1-3-3
2-Goal Games 5-8-0-0 12-3-0-0
3-Goal Games 15-2-0-0 10-6-0-0
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Ottawa 67’s vs Sudbury Wolves: Head To Head Stats
Summary
Description Result
Head to Head Record Ottawa 1-0-1-0 Sudbury 1-0-1-0
2017-2018 Ottawa 0-1-0-1 Sudbury 2-0-0-0
Last 5 Years Ottawa 6-2-1-1 Sudbury 4-5-1-0
Last 5 Years record @ Ottawa Ottawa 3-1-0-1 Sudbury 2-2-1-0
Last 5 Years record @ Sudbury Ottawa 3-1-1-0 Sudbury 2-3-0-0
Previous Meetings This Season Ottawa 2 @ Sudbury 3 OT
Sudbury 3 @ Ottawa 4 OT
How the 2 teams match up
Sudbury Ottawa
Team Record 43-20-3-2 — 91 PTS 50-12-4-2 — 106 PTS
Division Ranking 2nd Central 1st East
Conference Ranking 4th Eastern 1st Eastern
League Ranking 7th 1st
Past 10 Games 7-3-0-0 6-3-1-0
Streak 0-1-0-0 3-0-1-0
Home Record 27-6-1-0 29-3-1-1
Away Record 16-14-2-2 21-9-3-1
GF 254 296
GA 206 183
PP (Overall) (38/280) 13.6% (60/259) 23.2%
PP (Home) (16/147) 10.9% (30/131) 22.9%
PP (Away) (22/133) 16.5% (30/128) 23.4%
PK (Overall) (51/305) 83.3% (62/276) 77.5%
PK (Home) (23/162) 85.8% (22/127) 82.7%
PK (Away) (28/143) 80.4% (40/149) 73.2%
PP vs. Opp. (0/3) 0% (2/10) 20%
PK vs. Opp. (2/10) 80% (0/3) 100%
Leading Rookie Byfield (29-32-61) Rossi (29-36-65)
Most PIM Pilon – 121 Clark – 98
Team PIM/GM 13.7/Game 13.1/Game
Leading Scorers Ruzicka (35-43-78) Felhaber (59-50-109)
Byfield (29-32-61) Keating (22-67-89)
Bulitka (19-35-54) Maksimovich (35-46-81)
Murray (30-20-50) Chiodo (29-50-79)
Carson (17-29-46) Chmelevski (35-40-75)
Leading After 1st 21-3-1-0 31-0-0-2
Leading After 2nd 31-0-1-0 40-0-2-2
Tied After 1st 14-6-2-0 17-3-2-0
Tied After 2nd 7-1-1-0 7-3-1-0
Trailing After 1st 8-11-0-2 2-9-2-0
Trailing After 2nd 5-19-1-2 3-9-1-0
Out Shooting Opponents 27-8-2-0 32-9-3-1
Out Shot by Opponents 16-12-1-2 13-2-1-1
1-Goal Games 16-0-3-2 12-5-4-2
2-Goal Games 7-6-0-0 10-1-0-0
3-Goal Games 8-9-0-0 13-3-0-0
Niagara IceDogs vs Oshawa Generals: Head To Head Stats
Summary
Description Result
Head to Head Record Niagara 1-0-1-0 Oshawa 1-1-0-0
2017-2018 Niagara 1-0-0-1 Oshawa 1-0-1-0
Last 5 Years Niagara 5-3-1-1 Oshawa 5-4-1-0
Last 5 Years @ Niagara Niagara 3-1-0-1 Oshawa 2-3-0-0
Last 5 Years @ Oshawa Niagara 2-2-1-0 Oshawa 3-1-1-0
Previous Meetings This Season Oshawa 2 @ Niagara 6
Niagara 3 @ Oshawa 4 OT
How the 2 teams match up
Oshawa Niagara
Team Record 44-20-4-0 — 92 PTS 44-17-7-0 — 95 PTS
Division Ranking 2nd East 1st Central
Conference Ranking 3rd Eastern 2nd Eastern
League Ranking 6th 4th
Past 10 Games 7-2-1-0 8-2-0-0
Streak 3-0-0-0 6-0-0-0
Home Record 21-10-3-0 25-6-3-0
Away Record 23-10-1-0 19-11-4-0
GF 288 326
GA 216 209
PP (Overall) (71/290) 24.5% (85/303) 28.1%
PP (Home) (42/152) 27.6% (50/151) 33.1%
PP (Away) (29/138) 21.0% (35/152) 23.0%
PK (Overall) (49/270) 81.9% (63/276) 77.2%
PK (Home) (23/127) 81.9% (28/131) 78.6%
PK (Away) (26/143) 81.8% (35/145) 75.9%
PP vs. Opp. (4/14) 28.6% (4/12) 33.3%
PK vs. Opp. (4/12) 66.7% (4/14) 71.4%
Leading Rookie Tullio (15-27-42) Uberti (2-7-9)
Most PIM Gross – 81 Maksimov – 118
Team PIM/GM 11.4/Game 11.3/Game
Leading Scorers Saigeon (37-55-92) Robertson (48-69-117)
Salinitri (48-40-88) Jones (41-61-102)
Noel (34-47-81) Thomas (38-64-102)
Neumann (45-34-79) Studnicka (36-47-83)
McShane (34-35-69) Maksimov (40-39-79)
Leading After 1st 26-3-2-0 32-2-0-0
Leading After 2nd 32-1-0-0 39-0-1-0
Tied After 1st 12-3-0-0 8-7-1-0
Tied After 2nd 6-2-2-0 4-4-2-0
Trailing After 1st 6-14-2-0 4-8-6-0
Trailing After 2nd 6-17-2-0 1-13-4-0
Out Shooting Opponents 26-9-2-0 35-7-4-0
Out Shot by Opponents 17-9-2-0 8-9-2-0
1-Goal Games 14-4-4-0 10-9-7-0
2-Goal Games 5-5-0-0 5-2-0-0
3-Goal Games 11-7-0-0 10-4-0-0

PREDICTIONS:

London in 7 games

Sault Ste Marie in 7 games

Ottawa in 6 games

Oshawa in 7 games

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