Ottawa vs Guelph: OHL Finals Preview

OHL Playoffs

The Ontario Hockey League Championship Series is set to begin as the Guelph Storm take on the Ottawa 67’s and the right to hoist the J. Ross Robertson Cup and gain a birth to the Memorial Cup, which is set to begin May 17, 2019 in Halifax, Nova Scotia.

Twice I’ve picked the Storm to go down in defeat in 7 games and twice the Storm bounced back from 3-0 and 3-1 deficits against the London Knights and the Saginaw Spirit respectively. They set an OHL record winning 7 elimination games. The 67’s on the other hand are well rested, sweeping their three series to date and are a perfect 12-0 in these playoffs.

OHL Finals

Both teams are trying to win their fourth Robertson Cup. Ottawa has captured the title in 1977, 1984 and 2001. Guelph has won it all in 1988, 2004 and 2014.

This is a pretty even matchup. Guelph won one game between the two squads in regulation while Ottawa took the second game in overtime, both winning on home ice. Both teams are powerhouses at home while Ottawa holds an advantage when they are the visiting team.

Throughout the season, the Storm held the advantage in specialty teams, but it’s seen a reversal in the playoffs. The 67’s when up a man have been dominant firing at 38.9% (51.9% at home) while the Storm are at 23.5%. When down a man, the two squads are virtually identical with Guelph killing off 80.7% of the oppositions opportunities while Ottawa negates 80.4%.

If there is one area that Guelph holds a decisive advantage it is in experience. The Storm ice 3 over-agers and 12-19-year-old veterans. I would say that the 67’s hold the advantage in the crease with Micheal DiPietro, who has been to the big show at the Memorial Cup and leading his old Windsor Spitfires to a Championship in 2017.

This series is a coin flip. But I have to make a prediction and I’ll take Ottawa in 7 games. Watch the Storm prove me wrong yet again.

Schedule:

Game 1: Thur May 2 at Ottawa, 7:00 pm

Game 2: Sat May 4 at Ottawa, 2:00 pm

Game 3: Mon May 6 at Guelph, 7:00 pm

Game 4: Wed May 8 at Guelph, 7:00 pm

Game 5: Fri May 10 at Ottawa, 7:00 pm*

Game 6: Sun May 12 at Guelph, 2:00 pm*

Game 7: Mon May 13 at Ottawa, 7:00 pm*

*if necessary

Ottawa 67’s vs Guelph Storm: Head To Head Stats
Summary
Description Result
Head to Head Ottawa 1-1-0-0 Guelph 1-0-1-0
Last 5 Years Ottawa 7-2-1-0 Guelph 3-5-1-1
Last 5 Years record at Ottawa Ottawa 3-1-1-0 Guelph 2-2-1-0
Last 5 Years record at Guelph Ottawa 4-1-0-0 Guelph 1-3-0-1
Previous Meetings This Season Guelph 3 @ Ottawa 4 OT
Ottawa 4 @ Guelph 8 Final
How the 2 teams match up
Guelph Ottawa
Team Record 40-18-6-4 50-12-4-2
Division Ranking 2nd Midwest 1st East
Conference Ranking 4th Western 1st Eastern
League Ranking 8th 1st
Past 10 Games 8-2-0-0 6-3-1-0
Home Record 23-9-1-1 29-3-1-1
Away Record 17-9-5-3 21-9-3-1
GF 308 296
GA 230 183
PP (Overall) 25.80% 23.20%
PP (Home) 25.30% 22.90%
PP (Away) 26.40% 23.40%
PK (Overall) 79.10% 77.50%
PK (Home) 77.80% 82.70%
PK (Away) 80.30% 73.20%
PP vs. Opp. 27.30% 50%
PK vs. Opp. 50% 72.70%
Leading Rookie Collins (6-10-16) Rossi (29-36-65)
Most PIM Ratcliffe – 105 Clark – 98
Leading Scorers Schnarr (34-68-102) Felhaber (59-50-109)
Suzuki (34-60-94) Keating (22-67-89)
Ratcliffe (50-32-82) Maksimovich (35-46-81)
Hawel (37-41-78) Chiodo (29-50-79)
Entwistle (30-27-57) Chmelevski (35-40-75)
Leading After 1st 24-3-3-0 31-0-0-2
Leading After 2nd 32-1-3-1 40-0-2-2
Tied After 1st 9-4-3-4 17-3-2-0
Tied After 2nd 4-0-1-2 7-3-1-0
Trailing After 1st 7-11-0-0 2-9-2-0
Trailing After 2nd 4-17-2-1 3-9-1-0
Out Shooting Opponents 28-8-2-2 32-9-3-1
Out Shot by Opponents 11-9-4-2 13-2-1-1
1-Goal Games 10-5-6-4 12-5-4-2
2-Goal Games 4-2-0-0 10-1-0-0
3-Goal Games 8-7-0-0 13-3-0-0
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